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NOLA Weather and Tropical Outlook: June 23-27


by Patrick J. Pearson

Expect another good chance of showers and thunderstorms for Monday. Have kept  chance probability of precipitation in for Monday again the main threats will be heavy  rain...gusty winds and frequent lightning. 

 

Additional weak shortwaves/disturbances will move across the  central Gulf Coast region on Tuesday. Precipitable water is  expected to be lower...but still in the 1.6 to 1.9 inch range.  Diurnally driven...scattered showers and thunderstorms are  expected to develop. 

 

The models have come into better agreement going through the  middle to latter part of the week. A shortwave moving across the Southern Plains on Wednesday should allow for a slightly better  chance of rain again before high pressure strengthens again and  lowers rain chances Thursday through next weekend.

 

06/23

Monday 30% Precip.
Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

 

Monday Night 10% Precip.
Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

 

06/24

90 | 74 °F

Tuesday 30% Precip.
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

 

Tuesday Night 10% Precip. 

Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

 

06/25

92 | 76 °F

 

Wednesday 30% Precip.

Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 70s.
Wednesday Night 20% Precip.

 

06/26

90 | 76 °F

 

Thursday 30% Precip.

Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

 

Thursday Night 20% Precip.
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

 

06/27

90 | 76 °F

 

Friday 30% Precip.

Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.

 

Friday Night 20% Precip.
Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s.

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 222359
TWOAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN JUN 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart




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